This white paper develops a constructive transdisciplinary framework for understanding political denial, institutional capture, geopolitical violence, and civilizational self-correction through Karl Friston’s concept of self-evidencing within the Free Energy Principle and active inference. Fristonian theory describes living and cognitive systems as self-organizing processes that persist by minimizing uncertainty and maximizing evidence for their own generative models. Recent work has extended active inference beyond individual cognition into social conformity, cultural expectations, epistemic communities, scripts, narratives, and collective behavior. However, the theory remains ethically underdetermined when applied to political and institutional systems: it can explain how systems maintain themselves, but not whether what is being maintained is life-serving or life-destroying.
This paper proposes a normative distinction between pathological and life-coherent self-evidencing. Pathological self-evidencing occurs when a person, institution, state, market, media system, or civilization preserves its identity by suppressing, discounting, externalizing, or destroying the evidence of life-harm. Life-coherent self-evidencing occurs when a system remains viable by allowing suffering, ecological damage, social breakdown, and violated dignity to become high-precision evidence that corrects its model and reorganizes its conduct.
The framework is developed through cases including Palestine/Gaza, Cuba, Citizenship by Investment programmes in the OECS, Sudan, Haiti, Chagos, Western Sahara, Mediterranean migration, critical minerals, and climate finance for Small Island Developing States. These cases are read as sites where dominant geopolitical, economic, legal, and institutional models reveal what they are pathologically conserving: innocence, sovereignty, security, development, fiscal discipline, strategic dominance, mobility privilege, or green-transition legitimacy. The paper argues that a life-coherent civilization would be one in which institutions are designed to be interruptible by life-harm.
