Civilizations across history have consistently exhibited a striking divergence between their highest moral ideals and their lived social, economic, and political realities. This contradiction — often framed as hypocrisy, corruption, or moral decline — has appeared across religions, ideologies, and cultures. In this paper, we propose a unifying systems explanation for this universal pattern. We argue that large-scale societies undergo a structural transition from trust-based to threat-based regulation when storable surplus, coordination scale, and institutional distance outpace a society’s capacity to maintain shared vulnerability. This transition enables the export of consequence, producing asymmetric safety and converting threat from an episodic disturbance into a chronic background field embedded in political, economic, and biological systems.
We develop a formal Threat–Trust Phase Model of civilization and show how threat-dominant regimes systematically destabilize ethical coherence, generate population-wide autonomic dysregulation, and drive the modern epidemic of non-communicable disease. We demonstrate how dominant scarcity narratives, unemployment, austerity, and inequality function as active threat-maintenance mechanisms rather than neutral market outcomes. Integrating evolutionary anthropology, trauma biology, political economy, public health, and Modern Monetary Theory (MMT), we identify the monetary and institutional design features that falsely sustain artificial scarcity and ambient insecurity.
We then outline a life-focused political economy in which intrinsic health is elevated as the primary macroeconomic target, regenerative capacity replaces throughput optimization, and public policy is formally screened through an Intrinsic Health Impact Assessment (IHIA) framework. Finally, we analyze the political economy of transition, elite resistance, and the emerging global corridor in which risk can no longer be reliably exported across space, class, or time.
The paper concludes that ethical failure at civilizational scale is not fundamentally a moral failure but a control-systems failure. Trust-based ethics collapse not because of human depravity alone, but because threat-dominant institutions structurally select against them. For the first time in human history, however, the monetary, biological, and institutional tools now exist to deliberately redesign civilization around shared safety and intrinsic health.
